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arXiv cs.CL

Contextuality and Contradictions: Exploring Real-World Identifications of AI-Generated Writing

arXiv:2611.08704v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As AI-generated content spreads into nearly every domain of human interaction, practices and discourses of AI detection, both formal and informal, have become an everyday part of how people interact with text and with each other. In this paper, we explore the real-world practices and discourses of AI identification that have emerged in response to a shifting discursive landscape where the human provenance of a text can no longer be taken for granted. We pair qualitative coding with computational analysis of lexical change, grounded in linguistic anthropological perspectives on language and communication, to investigate AI identifications among English Wikipedia editors and students. We find that these identifications draw on a diversity of evidentiary types, from discrete textual features and judgments about content to circular sense-making claims and presumptions about the author's moral character, and that they are contradictory, dynamic, and contextually dependent. In practice, what often motivates an AI identification is not the presence of any specific textual element, but pragmatic infelicity: a perceived mismatch between the elements present and those deemed appropriate within the text's particular context. Consequently, real-world identifications of AI-generated writing do not merely neutrally point out the perceived presence of "AI-like" features, but can be leveraged as a discursive resource to maintain and define sociolinguistic norms: what can be said in a given context, what is appropriate, and, ultimately, what is human. Further, the design and implementation of systems and tools that treat AI-likeness as a context-free property of text may therefore inherit, and enforce at scale, the norms of whichever contexts they were trained on.

arXiv cs.AI

Decision Context: Persistent Behavioral Learning for AI Agents

arXiv:2611.08644v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM agents do not learn from corrections across sessions. A user fixes the same mistake at the start of every conversation. Existing agent memory systems primarily handle facts, such as preferences, entities, and conversational history, rather than procedural knowledge. We present Forge Decision Context (forge_dc), a system that captures behavioral signals from human corrections and self-assessed tool-call failures, compiles them into imperative RULE directives, and injects them at the decision points where they apply. We evaluate forge_dc alongside four predecessor approaches on DC-Bench, a new benchmark of 71 scenarios across nine behavioral dimensions, built from real executed agent traces in a deterministic mocked-tool environment. forge_dc reaches 95% compliance, up from 55% with naive retrieval, while injecting approximately 10 times fewer tokens per query. Across the five-stage progression, the strongest systems represent behavioral memory as explicit directives and deliver it at the decision points where it applies. The results identify representation, activation, and placement as central design choices for persistent behavioral learning.

arXiv cs.LG

Interpretable Multifidelity Learning with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Spatiotemporal Nuclear Reactor Flow Modeling

arXiv:2611.08512v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of nuclear reactor systems are computationally expensive, motivating machine learning methods that reduce cost while preserving accuracy. Multifidelity surrogate modeling addresses this by combining inexpensive low-fidelity data with limited high-fidelity data. This work investigates whether the high-fidelity data required to predict the spatiotemporal mass flow rate across all 193 fuel assemblies of a pressurized water reactor (PWR) core can be reduced, comparing black-box multifidelity feedforward neural networks (MFNNs) with interpretable multifidelity Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (MFKANs). Cross-fidelity correlation across the core is weak, making this a challenging multifidelity problem, and neither architecture predicts the transient particularly well in absolute terms. MFKAN nonetheless performs comparably to MFNN for one-time-step-forward prediction while also providing closed-form symbolic equations unavailable with MFNN. To address the scarcity of CFD transients, with only one available per fidelity level, TabDDPM-generated synthetic data was used to augment cross-fidelity forecasting. KAN and FNN achieve comparable self-evaluation accuracy (Pearson correlation of roughly 0.73--0.81), but both perform poorly at true cross-fidelity forecasting (correlations of 0.03--0.06). Assembly-level analysis shows that each assembly's forecast correlation tracks its real cross-fidelity correlation for both architectures ($r=0.840$--$0.896$ for KAN, $r=0.804$--$0.903$ for FNN), confirming that forecasting accuracy is fundamentally limited by how correlated the fidelity levels already are. Overall, KAN-based multifidelity modeling achieves accuracy consistently comparable to MFNN across all settings, while additionally providing symbolic equations that match or exceed the spline representation's accuracy.

arXiv cs.CL

Familiar letters, not related languages, let unseen languages into a shared space of meaning

arXiv:2611.06006v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hundreds of languages have written text but almost no translations, and whether a model learning one from untranslated text builds on a related language or familiar letters is unclear: they usually coincide. Here we show that familiar letters, not a related language, let an unseen language into a shared space of meaning. GlyphMind, a tokenizer-free vision transformer that reads text as pixels and lets any sentence be shown in any script, was pretrained to align translations across 27 writing systems. Adapted on untranslated Lao, a language and script it had never seen, it retrieved English translations seven times as often as the strongest simple baseline. Rewritten in unfamiliar letters, Lao did not enter although its close relative Thai was in pretraining; Santali, which had none, entered in Devanagari, familiar from Hindi, but not in its own script. Transliteration into familiar scripts may thus open multilingual models to languages without translations.

arXiv cs.CL

Holistic Parallel Supervision for Expressive Speech to Speech Translation

arXiv:2611.06010v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Expressiveness is central to speech-to-speech translation (S2ST), yet existing datasets rarely align source and target speech jointly in content, prosody, timing, and speaker identity. Consequently, current systems often rely on indirect conditioning or transfer mechanisms. To obtain this supervision, we introduce a training-data construction strategy that combines professional dubbing, which provides human-performed correspondence in content, prosody, and timing, with multilingual voice conversion to reduce speaker mismatch. We evaluate this supervision using existing expressive S2ST systems and DirectS2ST, an end-to-end method developed in this work that predicts the complete target-speech representation directly from source speech. Experiments on English-German and English-Spanish show that holistic parallel supervision improves expressive realization across all evaluated systems. DirectS2ST exhibits the largest gains in content, prosody, timing, speaker similarity, and human-rated expressiveness. To our knowledge, this work provides the first systematic investigation of holistic parallel supervision for expressive S2ST.

arXiv cs.DC

Post-Quantum Authentication of IoT Data on Ethereum: Signatures, the Calldata Floor, and Device-Signed Merkle Roots

arXiv:2611.08108v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Field devices deployed today will still be producing records when quantum computers may break their signatures, so systems that anchor IoT data on blockchains need a post-quantum (PQ) authentication path now. We measure its cost on Ethereum under the current execution rules, including the EIP-7623 calldata floor and the EIP-7825 transaction cap, and under the calldata repricing scheduled for the Glamsterdam upgrade. We combine device-side measurements of ML-DSA, Falcon, SLH-DSA, LMS and XMSS, reproduced costs of open-source Solidity verifiers, a new standard-compliant LMS/HSS verifier for SHA-256 and SHA-256/192, and complete transactions on an Osaka-rule EVM, priced with today's verifiers and with proposed precompiles. Three results stand out. Signing every record costs 8.7 times as much as ECDSA even with an ML-DSA precompile, because the calldata floor rather than verification sets the price. When each device signs a Merkle root over 100 records, a standard LMS verifier available today costs about 3,350 gas per record, against 245 gas for ECDSA in the same design, and it is unaffected by the scheduled repricing, which raises floor-bound designs by up to 1.9 times. With the proposed precompiles, ML-DSA-44 costs 1,031 gas per record, and a hybrid ECDSA and ML-DSA signature adds only 2.5%. Post-quantum device authentication is therefore deployable on Ethereum without protocol changes, provided that the latency of batching and the data-availability properties of the chosen variant fit the application.

arXiv cs.AI

Synthesizing symbolic models of human and machine reasoning at scale

arXiv:2611.07088v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Symbolic models offer a powerful account of cognition, but their scope has historically been limited by the need for hand-engineering and computational tractability. We show how advances in artificial intelligence (AI) can scale symbolic modeling and help overcome these engineering limitations. We introduce Behavior-Conditioned Symbolic Synthesis (BCSS)---an approach for automated search of interpretable, deterministic symbolic programs that verifiably reproduce behavior---and apply it to model both human and machine behavior across hundreds of challenging reasoning problems. Analyzing these programs reveals that both people and machines tend to oversimplify, adopt rules that are partial explanations for their observations, and misinfer dependencies between problem features. These shared signatures are modulated by available resources, with reasoning effort predicting the extent to which machines simplify and explain their observations. Together, these results point to underlying mechanisms reminiscent of satisficing in both people and machines, and illustrate how BCSS offers a general approach for interpreting and comparing rule-based reasoning of humans and black-box AI systems.

arXiv cs.AI

The Two-Ledger Model: Transaction-Grain Cost Accounting for Multi-Agent AI Systems Across Clouds, Models, and Systems of Record

arXiv:2611.06989v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Enterprises run business transactions through multi-agent AI systems spanning clouds, large language models (LLMs), orchestration harnesses, and systems of record. Finance receives AI cost only at settlement grain, aggregated by SKU and charge period. The business question (what did this order, claim, or case cost in AI?) cannot be answered from billing data, because providers never see enterprise transaction boundaries. The FinOps Open Cost and Usage Specification (FOCUS) gives billing data one schema across providers but remains settlement-grain even as it adds AI token and requester attribution. We formalize this grain mismatch, derive seven requirements, and propose the Two-Ledger Model: a settlement ledger of FOCUS-conformant billing data joined to an attribution ledger of invocation-grain usage records built on OpenTelemetry GenAI telemetry. A layered correlation spine (trace context, A2A/MCP metadata, business-key correlation, probabilistic matching) assigns each record to its business transaction with recorded method and confidence; a versioned rate card prices usage in near real time; period reconciliation ties both ledgers to the invoice, and the unexplained residual identifies shadow AI. Costs are reported per order, claim, or outcome with agentic cost metrics. A simulation with known ground truth shows the spine sustaining cost coverage above 99% as trace propagation falls to zero, the reconciliation residual recovering planted unmetered spend within 0.24 percentage points while flagging provider billing errors, and mid-flight gating cutting p99 transaction cost by up to 61% at a 2-4% false-pause rate. We propose the attribution ledger as an invocation-grain FOCUS profile for standardization.

arXiv cs.AI

A Feasibility Condition for Confidence-Gated Tiered LLM Inference

arXiv:2611.05394v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tiered inference distributes large language model computation across a hierarchy of devices, from on-device and edge hardware to the datacenter, and is increasingly offered as the route to cheaper, lower-latency, and more private serving. Most such systems orchestrate frozen model checkpoints, and most decide what to resolve locally and what to escalate using a confidence signal produced by a forward-deployed model. We give a closed-form condition for when no threshold on that signal makes a tiered cascade worthwhile relative to sending every query to the backstop. Modeling the routing decision as a binary test and separating local from escalation cost through an architecture cost ratio $\kappa$, we derive a feasibility condition bracketed by a signal-free floor, below which a cascade is feasible at any signal quality, and a perfect-signal ceiling, above which none is. Read along the $\kappa$ axis the condition inverts: where local compute is billed, cost binds, matching a recent empirical finding; where it is sunk, on decentralized hardware, feasibility becomes unconditional and signal quality instead sets what the cascade achieves. We turn the condition into three design requirements that existing trained-in primitives satisfy only in isolation, and we propose, as future work, a co-designed architecture and a protocol to test it. The condition and the inversion hold independently of that architecture; they are the paper's contribution.

arXiv cs.CL

Prospective Memory for Proactive LLM Agents

arXiv:2611.05731v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Most memory systems for LLM agents are retrospective, preserving and retrieving past information to inform current decisions. Proactive agents, however, also require prospective memory: retaining future-directed intentions and realizing them when appropriate opportunities arise, even without explicit requests. Crucially, remembering the right intention does not guarantee acting at the right time: a related observation may call for waiting, while a later cue may make the same intention actionable. Inspired by cognitive theories of human prospective memory, we introduce Pro-Memory, a memory framework that separates maintaining future intentions from deciding when and how to realize them. Pro-Memory preserves pending objectives linked to their supporting evidence, assesses new observations against their original goals and activation conditions, and coordinates appropriate contributions with the agent's ongoing actions. It further updates intention states based on actions actually issued or evidence of resolution, while an experience memory distills feedback from completed episodes into guidance for future decisions. Experiments on two benchmarks spanning delayed-intention tasks and open-ended proactive assistance demonstrate consistent improvements in proactive task performance over representative memory approaches across multiple LLM backbones, while limiting unnecessary interventions.

arXiv cs.LG

TB-Transolver: Parallelized and Coherent Long-Horizon Rollouts via Temporal Bundling for Time-Dependent PDEs

arXiv:2611.04063v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transolver has recently gained widespread adoption for solving diverse physical problems on unstructured geometric meshes by leveraging its Physics-Attention mechanism, which seamlessly extends standard softmax attention to handle physical domains at scale. For time-dependent problems, existing literature relies on time-conditioned or autoregressive rollouts to preserve temporal causality while retaining Physics-Attention as the spatial backbone. However, a fundamental limitation of this formulation is its sequential execution model, wherein computational costs scale linearly with the temporal horizon, rendering standard Transolver inefficient for transient problems despite its exceptional spatial efficacy. This bottleneck has historically hindered its broader application in time-dependent physical modeling. To address this limitation, we introduce TB-Transolver (also referred to as Temporally Bundled Transolver), an efficient framework built on temporal bundling that scales Transolver for time-dependent PDEs. Furthermore, we propose \emph{spatiotemporal coherence} (${\rm C(K)}$) as a general metric to systematically quantify snapshot correlation within a temporal bundle, enabling the \emph{a priori} selection of optimal bundle widths using training data alone, thereby avoiding expensive grid searches. We demonstrate the computational efficacy of TB-Transolver across four physically distinct domains, namely, plasticity, fluid dynamics, reaction-diffusion, and global weather forecasting; achieving training speedups of up to $29\times$ over conventional autoregressive and time-conditioned baselines. Finally, these computational gains are further amplified through distributed multi-node and multi-GPU parallelism, yielding aggregated speedups of up to $45.6\times$ at optimal bundle widths for systems exhibiting high spatiotemporal coherence compared to single-GPU implementations.

arXiv cs.AI

Uncertainty-Aware Resource Orchestration for Agentic AI Systems

arXiv:2611.05392v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Agentic artificial intelligence (AI) systems powered by large language models (LLMs) execute as autonomous multi-step pipelines that dynamically invoke tools, integrate observations into memory, and iterate until a task is resolved or a resource budget is exhausted. Unlike classical workflows with fixed graphs, the aggregate compute, bandwidth, and end-to-end latency demands of such pipelines are unknown at dispatch time: they emerge at runtime from intermediate observations and stochastic token sampling, yielding heavy-tailed, multi-modal random variables. This unpredictability forces infrastructure orchestrators into a dilemma: under-provisioning risks mid-execution throttling and deadline violations, while over-provisioning wastes scarce edge or cloud capacity. Existing schedulers require a fully known pipeline graph, while edge resource-management methods rely on parametric or stationary demand models, and neither fits the unknown, non-stationary profiles of agentic pipelines. We formalize this setting as the uncertainty-aware agentic orchestration problem, where the goal is to reserve, at dispatch time, compute and bandwidth allocations that cover actual pipeline demands, and to verify that the pipeline can meet its deadline, each with a prescribed probability. We then propose Conformal Reservation for Orchestration (CRO), an online algorithm that translates a sliding window of past execution traces into dispatch-time resource allocations with finite-sample, distribution-free coverage guarantees via conformal prediction. Simulations over heterogeneous task mixes with multi-modal and heavy-tailed profiles show that CRO is the only evaluated method that simultaneously satisfies target probabilistic coverage across all risk levels while, among coverage-feasible methods, attaining the lowest over-reservation, roughly halving the resource waste of the Chebyshev-bound baseline.

arXiv cs.LG

When Latent Dynamics Meet Data Assimilation: A Benchmark of Koopman-Type Representations

arXiv:2611.03916v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Koopman representations describe nonlinear dynamics through linear evolution in a transformed space, offering an attractive framework for their linear simplicity and generality. Yet these advantages do not necessarily translate into improved performance in deep latent data assimilation (LDA). We systematically compare seven representative methods and structural baselines across five systems spanning approximately periodic to strongly chaotic dynamics and a broad range of state dimensions. We evaluate forecast and assimilation accuracy, physical state recovery, latent-trajectory behavior, and dynamical consistency, and assess Gaussian error assumptions, objective convexity, and uniqueness of analysis solutions. Our results reveal a trade-off between representational flexibility and optimization tractability. Linear evolution of the latent state can stabilize short-term forecasts but restrict expressiveness in strongly chaotic and high-dimensional systems, without consistently improving assimilation accuracy. Parameterized linear operators offer greater flexibility, yet their joint optimization with the encoder--decoder remains nonconvex. Methods with closed-form analysis updates generally perform better and exhibit greater robustness in our experiments, although matrix inversion remains a computational bottleneck. These findings show that the practical benefits of Koopman structure depend on both sufficient observational information and the choice of assimilation procedure.

arXiv cs.AI

EMBERS: Empirically Motivated Robustness Testing of Deep Research Systems via Defect-Guided Fuzzing

arXiv:2611.03723v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep Research (DR) systems extend large language models into autonomous agents that decompose complex information needs, iteratively search the web, and synthesize evidence to answer challenging questions. However, their multi-stage execution may introduce robustness risks, as variations in user questions or intermediate search inputs may propagate across research stages and lead to incorrect answers. Existing evaluations focus on task-solving capabilities or robustness against external evidence disturbances, leaving intrinsic weaknesses in DR execution insufficiently explored. Thus, we conduct an empirical study of 1,932 execution trajectories from three representative DR systems and identify nine recurring defect categories across subquestion formulation, online search, and final reasoning. Guided by these findings, we propose EMBERS, an empirically motivated, defect-guided fuzzing framework for robustness testing of DR systems. Starting from correctly answered seed questions, EMBERS generates stage-targeted test inputs using defect-guided mutation, web-search-assisted fidelity assurance, and diversity-aware seed maintenance. Experiments across 16 framework--model--dataset settings show that EMBERS achieves 3.21 times the failure-discovery throughput of the strongest baseline under identical testing budgets. Human and LLM-assisted evaluations demonstrate that most generated inputs preserve the original information need and necessary contextual constraints. Moreover, model fine-tuning experiments show consistent-answer performance improvement, highlighting their value for robustness testing and model improvement.

arXiv cs.DC

FenixWalk: Adaptive Sampling for Large-Scale Dynamic Graphs on Heterogeneous Architectures

arXiv:2611.04683v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Random walks are fundamental to graph analytics, yet executing them efficiently on large, evolving graphs remains challenging. Existing approaches must balance sampling efficiency, update overhead, and memory consumption. Sampling structures optimized for throughput often incur substantial memory overhead and costly maintenance, whereas lightweight alternatives can suffer from high sampling latency on high-degree vertices or skewed weight distributions. These challenges become more pronounced on heterogeneous CPU--GPU platforms, where host memory provides capacity but GPU memory limits the amount of graph data that can benefit from parallel acceleration. We present FenixWalk, a memory-efficient random-walk system that combines unified in-place sampling with selective GPU acceleration for large-scale dynamic graphs. At its core, FenixWalk employs an in-place Fenwick representation that supports both rejection sampling and inverse-transform sampling without duplicating edge-level weight storage. This representation enables expected O(1) weight lookup for rejection sampling, together with O(log d) prefix sampling and updates. To exploit heterogeneous hardware efficiently, FenixWalk maintains the complete graph and its sampling structures in host memory while selectively placing frequently reused vertex-local samplers on the GPU. By transferring compact walker states instead of repeatedly migrating graph partitions, the system reduces cross-device communication and makes effective use of limited GPU memory. Experiments on large real-world graphs and representative random-walk workloads demonstrate that FenixWalk achieves average speedups ranging from 2.06x to 400.57x over existing random-walk systems.

arXiv cs.LG

Latent Cluster Separation as a Regularizer for Lifelong Anomaly Detection

arXiv:2611.03652v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Lifelong (continual) anomaly detection systems must learn a sequence of tasks without forgetting how to recognize anomaly types seen earlier -- a property known as backward transfer. A common way to try to improve backward transfer is to reshape a model's internal representation around learnable concept centroids, typically coupled with a new way of scoring anomalies based on distance to those centroids. Because these two design choices are usually introduced together, it is unclear which one is actually responsible for any performance gain. In this paper, we unbundle the two mechanisms within a VAE-based lifelong anomaly detector and study them separately. We find that used purely as a training-time regularizer -- while leaving anomaly scoring unchanged -- latent cluster separation can improve detection quality and backward transfer, though whether it outperforms the alternative scoring approach depends on the dataset's underlying representation. Switching to distance-based scoring is instead where most of the instability commonly associated with this class of method actually originates; we identify and explain the underlying mechanism. This benefit depends on the dataset's underlying representation, and we report this as practical guidance for choosing between the two design choices, rather than as a list of caveats.

arXiv cs.DC

Self-stabilising approximate clock synchronisation requires linear time

arXiv:2611.04725v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synchronising the clocks of processes is a fundamental problem in distributed computing. We consider message-passing systems in which processes start in an arbitrary initial state (self-stabilisation) and up to $f$ processes may be non-transiently faulty. It is well known that synchronising clocks \emph{exactly} is at least as hard as consensus and requires $\Theta(f)$ time. In contrast, without self-stabilisation, clocks can be synchronised \emph{approximately} much faster, in time independent of the number of non-transient faults [Srikanth and Toueg, JACM 1987; Welch and Lynch, Inf. Comput. 1988]. In this work, we show that deterministic self-stabilising approximate clock synchronisation tasks require $\Omega(f)$ time to stabilise. This gives the first non-trivial time lower bound for these tasks, whose time complexity has remained open for over two decades [Dolev and Welch, JACM 2004; Dolev, F\"ugger, Schmid and Lenzen, JACM 2014]. In particular, this answers the open question whether self-stabilising approximate clock synchronisation tasks are as hard as consensus or as easy as approximate agreement [Lenzen and Rybicki, JACM 2019]. The results show that guaranteeing \emph{both} transient and non-transient fault-tolerance simultaneously is expensive even for approximate synchronisation tasks. The lower bounds hold in a very strong model: the faulty processes can only crash, the local clocks of processes have no clock drift, and the message delay is bounded and known to all processes. The proof is based on a combinatorial topological argument showing that no fast finite-state protocol can ensure that the clocks behave consistently across all executions. To our knowledge, this is the first use of topological arguments to prove time lower bounds in the self-stabilising setting.

arXiv cs.LG

Stress-Testing the Robustness of LLM-Based Causal Inference

arXiv:2611.03656v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Why do some of the world's most powerful Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems still struggle to reason about cause and effect? Causal discovery, the ability to discern the underlying drivers of a system, is fundamental to scientific inquiry and has traditionally relied on structured data and statistical methods. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have been explored as an alternative paradigm for causal inference, leveraging their broad knowledge and reasoning capabilities. Yet, despite their linguistic fluency, LLMs often rely on surface-level pattern recognition rather than genuine causal logic. While it is known that LLMs stumble in this domain, we lack a precise map of where, why, and how significantly these failures occur. In this paper, we propose a systematic stress-test framework across six critical dimensions: model scale, causal graph complexity, prompting strategy, metadata quality, data quality, and sensitivity to uncertainty. Our findings reveal a significant "optimism bias" in LLMs; models consistently overestimate causal links, leading to low precision across the board. Furthermore, we demonstrate that traditional evaluation metrics can be deceptive: while reasoning-heavy models lead in performance, the highest scores often occur when uncertainty in inference is overlooked. Once uncertainty is integrated into the evaluation, performance drops, providing a more honest reflection of causal reliability. We also find that, while scaling model size improves outcomes, these gains are fragile; performance degrades sharply as the quality of metadata decreases. This work serves as a practical guide to the blind spots of LLMs, offering a clear-eyed assessment of when these tools can be integrated into a causal discovery pipeline and when they are likely to lead researchers astray.

arXiv cs.CL

Swapping the Judge Changes the Ranking: A Preregistered Study of Cross-Provider Replication in LLM-Judged System Comparisons

arXiv:2611.04090v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Practitioners who compare systems with an LLM judge and have no human labels often check a conclusion by repeating it with a judge from another provider. We test how far that check can be trusted. In a preregistered study (with a disclosed post-registration reduction of the judge set), five judge models from three providers re-judged 4,000 Chatbot Arena battles (nine systems, 33 system pairs) that carry human votes, each in both response orders. Agreement with the human vote was low at the verdict level (median Cohen's kappa = 0.22), and system rankings did not survive a change of judge: Kendall's tau with the human ranking ranged from 0.17 to 0.89 (median 0.67), so the preregistered hypothesis that rankings remain stable was not supported. Conclusions replicated by two low-cost judges from different providers matched the human conclusion more often than single-judge conclusions (+0.10 precision), but the gain came from filtering out one poorly aligned judge, and replication involving that judge left a conclusion for only 35% of comparisons. Judges that agreed with humans reached a stable conclusion with no more verdicts than human votes required; the others failed to converge on 26-70% of system pairs at the sample sizes tested (up to 100 verdicts per pair). Disagreements with the human vote co-occurred across judges far more often than independence predicts, although a single human vote per battle cannot separate shared judge bias from voter noise.

arXiv cs.LG

Towards Automatic Heart Murmur Characterization from Multi-spot Phonocardiograms

arXiv:2611.03654v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Cardiac auscultation traditionally detects the presence of a heart murmur, but clinicians further characterize it by timing, shape, pitch, quality, and grade. Most automatic phonocardiogram analysis systems stop at binary detection and do not estimate this richer description. In this work, we formulate automatic murmur characterization as five patient-level classification tasks and compare three multi-spot strategies on recordings from the aortic, pulmonary, mitral, and tricuspid auscultation locations. First, classical and deep-learning classifiers are trained independently at each location, and predictions are combined via a maximum-severity late-fusion rule. Second, a synchronous multi-input CNN jointly processes one representative segment per location for a single task. Third, a unified multi-input, multi-output CNN predicts all five attributes from one shared multi-spot representation. Using 735 patients from the CirCor DigiScope dataset with complete four-spot recordings, the best late-fusion configurations reach an unweighted mean sensitivity between 85.56% and 93.81% across the five tasks, with class-specific recalls between 80.00% and 100.00% for every relevant category. The multi-input CNN trails late fusion by 7-16 points depending on the task, while the multi-output model reaches values between 72.59% and 79.40%, estimating all five attributes from one shared representation. We further show that naively balancing training data by adding all minority-class segments degrades patient-level performance under the maximum-severity rule, since it introduces non-representative, noisy segments not filtered by the clustering-based segment selection used for evaluation. These results indicate multi-spot murmur characterization is feasible with both fusion-based and jointly learned architectures, outlining a path toward automatic, structured murmur reports complementing binary screening.