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FinEvolveKG: Controlled and Attributable Prompt Evolution for Financial Knowledge Graph Construction

arXiv:2611.08643v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial institutions construct knowledge graphs (KGs) from shared SEC 10-Ks to serve risk analysis, portfolio management, and investment research, whose analytical needs differ. Extraction must adapt without fragmenting shared grounding, typing, and temporal rules. Hand-authored persona prompts and fine-tuning add cost. Weight-free prompt optimization offers an alternative, but unconstrained evolution of a monolithic prompt can rewrite shared rules alongside persona guidance, obscuring changes and complicating review. We introduce FinEvolveKG, a KG-construction harness separating reusable general and persona-policy blocks and mechanically confining GEPA, a reflective prompt optimizer, to the designated block. During persona adaptation, the approved general block remains byte-stable and every optimizer edit is localized to a separately versioned persona policy. A dual objective balances generic temporal-KG quality with persona-relevant facts, motifs, and multi-hop connectivity. We evaluate five mutation scopes on ticker-disjoint 10-K splits, with three seeds for the persona-conditioned arms (v3-v5) across three personas. On the three-seed mean, the complete two-stage block-constrained workflow (v4) improves over the frozen prompt baseline (v1) by 19.4-30.9% and over the tested unconstrained full-prompt workflow (v5) by 2.2-6.4%, leading v5 on both objective components and winning all nine paired-seed comparisons with the lowest seed variance in every persona. Without further optimization, v4 also exceeds v5 across all evaluated out-of-distribution (OOD) shifts. An SME audit supports using the generated triplets as ground truth; a blinded two-SME audit favors v4 over v5 in 70.1% of contrast-enriched judgments. These results show that mechanically attributable evolution can coexist with strong empirical performance, without attributing the gains causally to the boundary.

Faster Retrieval for Better, More Efficient RAG

Maximum inner product search (MIPS) sits at the core of recommendation systems, search, and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). Given a query vector, MIPS systems search within a database of millions of candidate key vectors for the one that best matches the query. The original data point associated with that best-matching key is then used to handle the query: in RAG, the document that is best suited to answer the question is typically prefixed to the query. As the number of keys grows to millions and vector dimensions reach thousands, the computational cost of running an exhaustive…

Predictive gains, causal losses: why interventional competence cannot be learned from data alone

arXiv:2611.03861v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retaining predictive gains can require persistent errors in a model's response to interventions. For deterministic predictors with finite second moments under squared-error loss, any observational advantage over the best predictor using only an outcome's direct causes requires dependence on other inputs, regardless of the learning rule. When admissible interventions vary inputs while preserving the worldly outcome, this dependence yields a positive lower bound on root-mean-square intervention-response error. We identify conditions under which population gradient updates introduce this dependence from a parent-only baseline or damage a previously correct mechanism through shared parameters while improving other predictions. These dependencies can also make model behavior vary with how the same intervention is realized. We characterize interventional alignment through a common output mapping across internal states and physical processes realizing the same intervention target and relevant context. Correction is limited by the causal hypotheses currently admitted within inquiry. The relevant hypothesis class comprises these causal alternatives, rather than the function class the computational system could in principle represent. For predictions restricted to these alternatives, interventional mean error cannot fall below the best approximation they permit, whether evidence is observational or interventional. Reducing error below a positive limit requires admitting better hypotheses, which may entail revising the causal variables, mechanism structure, or intervention interpretation. Interventional criticism constrains replacements without determining them. We conjecture that reliably acquiring and maintaining interventional competence when causal commitments fail requires autonomous participation in proposing alternatives, testing their consequences, and revising them in response to error.

EVOLVE: Uncertainty-Aware Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Prediction with Adaptive Prototype Memories

arXiv:2610.32189v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Unsupervised multivariate time series anomaly prediction (AP) aims to estimate future anomaly risks from current observations, providing early-warning signals for proactive intervention and maintenance in complex systems. Existing unsupervised AP methods follow a perturbation-based paradigm, where predefined or random perturbations are injected into historical windows to simulate abnormal future evolution. However, these methods share perturbations across different variables and contexts, and learn deterministic history-to-future evolution. In reality, anomaly evolution is variable- and context-dependent: the same perturbation may be amplified into abnormal future dynamics in one variable or context, while being absorbed as normal fluctuation

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Putting Transformer Theories to the Test

arXiv:2610.32104v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Several formal theories have been developed to characterize the capabilities and limitations of the transformer architecture, each employing different abstractions that capture different features of the architecture. Due to the differences in their underlying assumptions and conceptual frameworks, these theories can disagree in their predictions about what tasks transformers find easy or hard. We map out seven theories of transformer capability (Star-free, $\mathsf{AC}^0$, $\mathsf{TC}^0$, C-RASP, MPC, BAPO, and Sensitivity) and translate their results into a common matrix of predictions across a suite of tasks covering different computational structures. We provide new theoretical results to complete this matrix. We then evaluate theoretical

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Parametric Session States Recover Retrieval Intent without Replaying History

arXiv:2610.33047v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-running assistants often interpret follow-up requests whose referents, constraints, and active goals were established many turns earlier. The central challenge is therefore not only context length, but retrieval intent: a current query such as ``use the previous configuration'' may omit the project, entity, and version terms needed to locate relevant evidence. Long-context models can recover those terms by replaying the interaction, but repeatedly pay the cost of processing history. Conventional retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) is cheaper, yet assumes an information-sufficient query; conversational rewriting either rereads the history or depends on an explicitly maintained textual memory. We introduce \emph{Parametric Session State}

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From Noisy Retrieval to Decision Evidence: Silver Evidence Demonstrations for In-Context Learning

arXiv:2610.32128v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: RAG and retrieval-augmented few-shot ICL can struggle when decision-relevant evidence is buried in long, noisy context. Retrieved passages and demonstrations may contain redundant or distracting information. Although expert-labeled development examples may identify the text supporting each decision, these annotations are typically used only as answer-side rationales rather than as supervision for filtering noisy retrieval. We propose silver-evidence demonstrations, which replace raw retrieved passages in ICL examples with generated, target-conditioned evidence summaries. For each labeled development example, an LLM generates silver evidence without access to the expert label or gold evidence; this evidence is then paired with the expert label

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