Skip to content
AI NEWS.ccAI正在发生 未来正在更新
Bookmarks
THE JOURNAL
AI NEWS JOURNAL
AI, IN PERSPECTIVE

Search AI news

Search headlines, summaries and articles to connect the dots.

Newest first

arXiv cs.DC

ISER-MoE: Dynamic In-Switch Replication of Hot Experts for Load Balancing in Expert-Parallel

arXiv:2611.09008v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Expert-parallel mixture-of-experts (MoE) layers run at the pace of the most loaded GPU, and a few hot experts carry most of the excess load. Replicating them at every MoE layer balances the load only if their weights arrive within the layer, and broadcasting from the owner is the bottleneck: point-to-point copies overload it, and baseline broadcasts pay latency or bandwidth overheads. We present ISER-MoE (In-Switch Expert Replication for MoE), built in TensorRT-LLM, which multicasts hot experts through the NVLink switch to fixed GPU groups, so each byte leaves its owner once. A GPU scheduler assigns hot experts to groups per layer, and a multi-port broadcast spreads the injection over the group's ports, both overlapped with the shared expert. In trace replay, the scheduler removed 98-99% of the excess load; in prefill serving of DeepSeek-V4-Pro, throughput rose 17.4% on a math benchmark and 7.2% on agentic prompts.

arXiv cs.LG

Not All Misalignment Is Alike: A Decomposed Benchmark for Emergent Misalignment

arXiv:2611.08569v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Emergent misalignment (EM), in which fine-tuning on a narrow task induces misaligned behaviour on unrelated prompts, has been demonstrated across a wide range of datasets, model families, and training setups. Yet, most studies continue to rely on the evaluation approach introduced in the original EM paper, producing rates that are sensitive to the small set of evaluation questions used, the choice of judge, and the thresholds applied. These evaluations can also conflate misalignment with capability loss and offer little insight into the specific ways misalignment manifests. Differences in datasets, models, and fine-tuning configurations further make findings difficult to compare across studies. We introduce EMERGE, a decomposed benchmark that tracks changes in eight distinct misaligned behaviours from base to fine-tuned models. It evaluates these behaviours on out-of-domain prompts against matched benign controls and tracks capability, coherence, and refusal to account for potential confounders. Applying EMERGE to 8 open-weight models and 13 fine-tuning datasets, we find that models with similar broad misalignment rates can exhibit very different behavioural profiles that a single score cannot capture. We hope EMERGE can help establish a shared and robust standard for measuring EM, making findings more comparable and helping move research from detecting the phenomenon towards understanding it.

arXiv cs.AI

Pdb or Not to Be: Comparing Debugging Interfaces With Pass$_{X}$@$k$

arXiv:2611.08666v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Interactive debuggers are indispensable to human software development, yet coding agents overwhelmingly rely on edit-execute-observe loops, using common bash tools, test scripts, and print statements to debug via repeated shell commands. Stepping through a debugger provides live access to runtime state, which may enable different problem-solving capabilities. However, prior work typically introduces the debugger as an additional tool or through a new subagent, making its individual contribution difficult to isolate from the associated scaffold changes. To address this, we compare a debugger-only agent against a bash-only agent on all 500 SWE-bench Verified instances, holding the rest of the scaffold fixed. We evaluate both architectures on two models, GPT-OSS-120B and Nemotron-3-Ultra-550B, with three independent runs per architecture $\times$ model configuration. Crucially, to distinguish interface specialization from expanded coverage under repeated sampling, we introduce pass$_X$@$k$, a cross-agent pass@$k$ that provides an unbiased estimator of the probability that at least one of $k$ agents is successful. Although the bash and debugger agents solve partially disjoint subsets of the benchmark in any single pair of runs, our pass$_X$@$2$ estimator reveals that this is largely due to run-to-run variance rather than tool complementarity. Across both models, we find that two bash rollouts outperform the combination of one bash and one debugger rollout. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for stochastic variance in evaluating agent and tool diversity, and we hope that pass$_X$@$k$ will serve as a useful framework for the community.

arXiv cs.LG

PINNeval: A Comprehensive Evaluation Standard for Physics-Informed Neural Networks

arXiv:2611.08559v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN) literature has produced a rapidly expanding catalogue of methods. We divide a PINN training pipeline systematically into four components and observe that many existing benchmarks study these components in isolation. These components are domain-importance adaptation, loss balancing, neural network architecture, and optimization scheme. Moreover, the studies set the surrounding and not considered components of the pipeline to a minimal default that is no longer representative of current best practice approaches. Conclusions drawn under such conditions may not transfer to competitive pipelines. In this work, we propose a new evaluation protocol that (1) treats the four components as an integrated system; (2) crucially requires competitive implementations of the components not under investigation; (3) specifies the metrics and reporting format; and (4) is accompanied by structured documentation that ensures the traceability of evaluations across studies. Based on this comprehensive protocol, we release PINNpipe, an innovative JAX package containing 18 different methods from the current literature as well as nine efficiently implemented benchmark problems. Using PINNpipe, we illustrate our evaluation protocol in relation to established benchmark studies and report results that challenge common assumptions.

arXiv cs.DC

ResServe: Accurate and Efficient FP4 LLM Inference with Residue Compensation

arXiv:2611.08713v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Block-scaled 4-bit floating-point (FP4) quantization reduces large language model inference costs but can degrade task quality. Higher-precision computation can mitigate this loss at the expense of some of the efficiency gains from FP4 inference. Narrow matrix computations common in decoding often leave spare hardware capacity for low-cost precision recovery. ResServe combines an FP4 activation base with an FP4-quantized residue representing information lost during quantization. It uses this spare capacity to compute the residue's contribution and combines results on-chip, avoiding extra result transfers. We apply this principle to linear layers and decode attention, while selective compensation limits added work when processing input prompts. On NVIDIA B200, compensated linear kernels using the NVFP4 format improve numerical precision while retaining latency close to uncompensated execution for the evaluated operations with few rows. In the evaluated NVFP4 inference configurations, ResServe adds at most 3.4% request-latency overhead over W4A4 and reduces request latency by 22.4-53.3% relative to W4A8. Across five models, code-generation accuracy improves over same-format uncompensated inference, with mean relative gains of 15.04% for NVFP4 and 53.57% for MXFP4.

arXiv cs.CL

Structuring Survey Histories for LLM Digital Twins: A Controlled Study of Background, Decision Procedure, and Evaluation Profiles

arXiv:2611.08730v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-based digital twins aim to predict how individuals would respond in new settings from representations of their prior responses. Existing evidence that compression of survey histories need not reduce predictive accuracy suggests that representation structure, rather than information volume alone, may be an important design choice. We study BDE, a fixed representation that organizes each respondent's survey history into Background, Decision procedure, and Evaluation. We evaluate it on Twin-2K-500 (Toubia et al., 2025) by predicting each respondent's held-out answers on 17 tasks. In a paired evaluation with 100 respondents, a fully inferred BDE profile improves overall accuracy over the raw survey transcript by 1.27 percentage points (pp) on gpt-5.4-nano (p < 0.01) and 1.19 pp on gpt-5.4-mini (p < 0.001). Three analyses then examine the schema, extraction depth, and component composition. Against a length-matched free-form profile written from the same transcript by the same extractor, BDE improves pricing accuracy on both simulators (2.15 pp on nano, p < 0.01; 1.38 pp on mini, p < 0.05), while its overall advantage is significant only on nano (1.05 pp, p < 0.05). Allowing deeper inference during extraction yields no statistically significant gain on either simulator. By contrast, adding Evaluation to a Background--Decision procedure profile improves overall accuracy by 1.44 pp on nano (p < 0.001) and 1.22 pp on mini (p < 0.001). These results indicate that the advantage over raw transcripts is not explained by compression or length alone, and attribute it primarily to profile composition rather than deeper extraction.

arXiv cs.LG

What Are LLM Agents Actually Learning on Low-Budget Molecular Optimization Benchmarks?

arXiv:2611.08522v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent work reports large gains for LLM agents on low-budget molecular optimization. We measure the contributions of online optimization, retrievable task information, and permissive oracle landscapes. On PMO at 50 oracle calls, a GPT-4o mini agent's sum AUC falls from 14.44 to 4.85 after task names and curated reference compounds are hidden. An identity-blinded condition that states only the oracle form (e.g., similarity to a hidden reference) scores 5.39, while a deterministic retrieval-only baseline with no LLM reaches 12.16 (84% of the full agent). A full 23-task 2x2 ablation and a three-seed replication on eight tasks support this interpretation. On a protein-targeted benchmark with an AutoDock Vina composite oracle, a single-edit random walk is a strong lower bound; across three seeds it obtains composite 0.636 +/- 0.008 and docking improvement -1.11 +/- 0.04 kcal/mol. As a positive control, a retrieval-free population agent exceeds REINVENT at a matched 50-call AUC budget, with its strongest result at 100 calls. These results motivate two inexpensive sanity checks: retrieval-safe PMO prompts and a random-walk floor for docking-based optimization.

arXiv cs.LG

A Night at the LLM Zoo: Data Conditioned Flow Matching for Generating Pretrained LLM Weights

arXiv:2611.07103v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A challenge to Weight Space Learning as it expands from task specific and vision models to Large Language Models (LLMs) is the absence of a well curated and analyzed LLM population. To address this, we train such a model zoo for application to Weight Space Generation by systematically varying the data mixture composition between web text, books, mathematics, coding, and French across populations of 51M, 124M, and 355M parameter GPT-2 Models, each tier with count N = 100. We analyze these populations by cosine similarity, functional diversity, Leave-One-Mixture-Out modeling, and variance decomposition. We show that the zoo contains diverse models whose variation is structured by training mixture composition. We embed the training mixture composition to condition a Flow Matching model of complete pretrained LLM weights in Gram-PCA compressed weight space. By demonstrating zero-shot generalization to held out mixtures, measuring Continuous Ranked Probability Score skill, as well as finding minimal changes in downstream test-set perplexity and general capability benchmark scores, we show that our generator generalizes on the simplex of data mixtures to produce models that perform similarly to those in the zoo ex nihilo. Finally, we produce all source code and artifacts to support the continued expansion of Weight Space Learning and Generation into the LLM domain.

arXiv cs.AI

BlockLock: Reproducible LLM Inference with Fixed Batch Geometry

arXiv:2611.06977v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reproducible LLM inference requires that a request produces the same output regardless of the other requests in the batch. Existing solutions pay for this in different ways: batch-invariant kernels constrain every operator, and isolating prefill with fixed-shape decode ({our CoRun-style baseline}) gives up shared prefill compute and pads decode. We present BlockLock, which keeps shared batched prefill and pins only the numerical path of the protected request: it fixes the geometry that the request sees, with {two modes: BlockLock-Rows uses fixed-width rows and retains batched decode of all requests; BlockLock-Pack uses terminal-anchored packing with an isolated dummy segment, then extracts the protected request's KV state for target-only decode. Under a stated per-deployment contract, both modes preserve the target's output bitwise when its companions change.} Across five {dense} models (Qwen3-8B/14B, Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, and Gemma-3-4B/12B-IT) and three single-GPU deployments (NVIDIA A6000, A100, and H100), we evaluate our approach on both tinyBenchmarks and BFCL{; we also include initial tensor-parallel experiments on two NVIDIA A6000 GPUs. Both modes preserve target sequences and Top20-logit bits in the reported tests.} At equal delivered work, {BlockLock-Rows} reduces latency by 53.5--55.0\% and improves throughput by 115.2--122.2\% relative to vLLM Batch-Invariant; compared with batch-invariant kernels, it needs no custom kernel implementations and constrains only the protected requests.

arXiv cs.AI

Closed-Loop Agent Evaluation: Layered Measurement and Self-Calibration

arXiv:2611.07051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Once an agent is live, teams want to know whether it is doing its job, not just whether it throws errors. Yet most evaluation is one-off: a benchmark run, a look at traces, a single score. Its conclusions neither check themselves nor reach the agent. We propose closed-loop evaluation, an evaluation method for deployed agents. It models evaluation as performance estimation under biased raters and censored outcomes, and it requires every level's conclusion to trace back to atomic data and to be computed by versioned rules. The method covers four levels of analysis (span, trace, conversation and engagement), measures along a spine of Execution, Substance, Trajectory and Results, treats Conduct as a constraint throughout, and uses Provenance and Adjudication components to certify the evidence and the evaluators. Evaluator agents generated by an Agent Factory carry these components, each with a domain knowledge pack and an adapter harness. Two loops close the evaluation: an inner loop audits the evidence, rules and metrics themselves, and an outer loop uses per-component regression checks to drive agent improvement. We also give a pipeline that runs this process automatically. Using the business-analysis agent SharpInsight as a case and porting the method to public conversation data, we show how problems differ across levels and how evidence-and-rule judgment is more reliable than holistic scoring (ICC 0.86 vs. 0.81; kappa 0.81 vs. 0.63).

arXiv cs.CL

Information-Matched Auditing of Conversational Emotion-Shift Forecasting: A Leakage-Safe Evaluation Protocol

arXiv:2611.05895v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Comparisons in conversational emotion-shift forecasting are easily distorted when a learned model receives rich features but its transition baseline is given a noisy or unavailable current-emotion label, when hyperparameter budgets differ, or when target-turn information enters the representation. We present an information-matched, leakage-safe auditing protocol that closes these gaps with an explicit commitment point, executable causality tests, equal four-configuration validation searches, and seed-dialogue-aware inference. Applying it to six causal model families on four text corpora and two feature-source sensitivity configurations shows that a deployable train-only current-emotion classifier feeding the transition baseline yields a different verdict than an oracle diagnostic where both sides receive gold current emotion. Under the deployable condition, learned models improve over the predicted-label baseline on all four primary corpora; DailyDialog gains are large and survive a 72-comparison Holm correction (best ROC-AUC gain = +0.167, adjusted p=.0144). Under matched gold information, the baseline remains competitive on IEMOCAP and stronger on MELD, while every model retains a large DailyDialog advantage. We additionally report precision-recall AUC, calibration, a strictly utterance-local feature control, same-person self-shift forecasting, and a future-access dose-response test. An eight-item leakage checklist accompanies the protocol. Code, raw seed predictions, and reporting artifacts are available from the corresponding author upon request.

arXiv cs.AI

KDASO: Knowledge-Data Dual-Driven Automated Skill Optimization for Liability Adjudication Tasks

arXiv:2611.06972v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Liability adjudication tasks (e.g., legal charge determination) require analyzing event descriptions against domain-specific skills to determine whether a party should bear liability. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise in this area by leveraging executable skills for interpretable reasoning, existing approaches face three critical limitations: skill libraries become stale as real-world scenarios dynamically evolve, skill descriptions often suffer from a semantic execution gap where LLMs deviate from intended expert logic, and growing skill collections exceed context budgets causing critical skill omission. To address these challenges, we propose Knowledge-Data Dual-Driven Automated Skill Optimization (KDASO), which continuously evolves a skill library through neighborhood-conditioned induction from recent adjudication data, execution-aligned refinement based on LLM trajectory analysis, and context-budgeted routing for scalable skill selection. Experiments across ride-hailing adjudication, legal liability determination, and logical reasoning judgment demonstrate that KDASO significantly outperforms current general-purpose and domain-specific baselines. KDASO further achieves 8.96% improvement when transferring skills to concept-similar scenarios and maintains consistent performance gains through continuous optimization, underscoring the high transferability and stability of generated skills.

arXiv cs.DC

NUMA-Torch: Compiler-Driven NUMA-Aware LLM Prefill on Multi-Socket CPUs

arXiv:2611.07105v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For sufficiently large transformer-based Large Language Models (LLMs), whose parameters cannot be retained in on-chip caches, prefill throughput on multi-socket CPUs is often limited by sustainable DRAM bandwidth rather than peak floating-point throughput. In the standard PyTorch compilation (i.e., TorchInductor) path, model weights are allocated without considering the Non-Uniform Memory Access (NUMA) topology: specifically, the affinity between memory banks and compute cores is disregarded. This causes a substantial fraction of weight accesses to traverse the inter-socket interconnect, severely degrading the effective memory bandwidth available to each socket. We address this bottleneck through a compiler-level solution that makes TorchInductor NUMA-aware. Treating each NUMA socket as an independent tensor-parallel partition, we introduce NUMA-aware Tensor Parallelism (NUMA-TP). This approach transparently shards weights across sockets and schedules compute kernels such that thread pools and memory allocations remain strictly local to their respective sockets using CPU affinity. We evaluate the approach on GPT-2 (117M, 345M, 762M) and BERT (Small, Large), which exercise standard multi-head attention and MLP, as well as Gemma 3 270M, which combines Multi-Query Attention with a GeGLU-gated MLP. By strictly enforcing data locality, our approach successfully mitigates cross-socket traffic, achieving prefill speedups of up to 2.63x on a dual-socket Haswell platform, up to 1.87x on a dual-socket Cascade Lake platform, and up to 2.27x on a four-socket Haswell-EX platform.

arXiv cs.CL

ProcessPrefBench: Evaluating Cross-Task Transfer of Individual Process Preferences from Naturalistic Human-AI Interaction

arXiv:2611.06065v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In natural human-AI dialogue, users' corrections, requests, and self-descriptions carry reusable signals about how they want work to be done. These signals reveal individual process preferences, user-specific standards for evidence, depth, analytical focus, procedure, and delivery. We ask whether a preference revealed in one dialogue can shape an assistant's later answer when the task does not restate it. ProcessPrefBench uses three months of natural dialogues from two knowledge workers to build 66 source-target cases separately judged for source evidence and target applicability. Sources are preselected, so the benchmark tests application rather than retrieval. We test three models with target-only, full-history, and distilled-preference prompts. Target-specific 0-2 rubrics score preference realization, and a task gate flags severe failures. Compared with target-only prompting, full-history and imperative distilled-preference prompting raise preference realization by 0.204 and 0.244 points on the 0-2 scale, respectively, with no reliable advantage from distillation. Fabricated-evidence failures rise from 5.8% under target-only prompting to 10.1% under full-history and 10.4% under imperative prompting. ProcessPrefBench highlights a tension in learning from dialogue, where drawing on prior interactions can improve preference realization yet also invite fabricated evidence. We hope it helps build assistants that honor a user's process preferences without sacrificing factual reliability.

arXiv cs.CV

PSGAgent: Enhancing MLLMs' Dynamic Visual Perception for Panoptic Scene Graph Generation via Agentic Reasoning

arXiv:2611.07408v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Panoptic Scene Graph generation (PSG) requires holistic yet fine-grained reasoning over complex relations among objects. However, current Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) applied to PSG suffer from a perception bottleneck: they function as static observers limited by fixed-resolution views. As a result, models often overlook critical relations involving small or peripheral objects and struggle to differentiate ambiguous predicates in complex scenes. To address these limitations, we propose PSGAgent, an agentic framework that enhances visual perception for PSG through a think-act-observe loop. PSGAgent allows MLLMs to dynamically refine their visual perception using two tools: a Region Zoom-In Tool for local exploration of small or boundary relations and a Visual Highlight Tool for relation-focused segmentation that filters out irrelevant contextual noise. To optimize decision-making, we construct a two-stage training pipeline. First, we create a high-quality, error-aware Multimodal Chain-of-Thought (M-CoT) dataset that provides robust supervision for cold-start learning. Then, we design a novel hierarchical reward mechanism integrated with Group Sequence Policy Optimization (GSPO) to enable strategic and adaptive tool usage. Extensive experiments on the PSG benchmark show that PSGAgent achieves SOTA performance, demonstrating strong capability in both holistic and fine-grained scene understanding.

arXiv cs.CL

Selective, Risk-Controlled Emotion Forecasting in Conversation: From a Persistence Barrier to Departure Detection with Conformal Guarantees

arXiv:2611.05896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting emotion in conversation is increasingly framed as predicting the next emotional state's value. We show this targets a hard quantity in a state-observed testbed and propose a learnable, deployable reformulation instead. On valence-arousal-dominance trajectories from a dyadic corpus, repeating a speaker's own previous state sets a persistence baseline that no frozen-encoder correction meaningfully improves upon and a state-space filter exceeds; the floor requires the historical state to be observed, since an estimated anchor collapses persistence below a direct forecaster. What survives is the timing of a departure from persistence, learnable on three of four corpora and near chance on the highest-base-rate corpus, a negative result we report. We recast the task as selective departure forecasting: a lead-time-weighted metric with a leakage protocol, and commitment policies whose best choice switches with the departure rate. A dialogue-level conformal risk control bounds the expected loss of committed predictions, meeting the target in all twelve configurations tested, though the guarantee is bought through abstention, with coverage and alarm recall falling sharply on the hardest corpus. One tested language model's confidence fails as a ranking signal where another succeeds, a model-dependent failure not yet attributable to family versus scale. Code and result logs are available from the corresponding author upon request.

arXiv cs.CL

When Every Choice Is Correct: A Causal Study of Numerical Preference in Language Models

arXiv:2611.06025v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When a language model chooses a number between 1 and 30, every integer in the range is valid, yet the model can favor particular answers. We use numerical choice to study how preference is processed across layers and tokens. Perturbation probing and gradient attribution nominate neurons for activation interventions. In a selected Qwen3-4B case, a pre-answer edit changes 17 to 15 while both runs first emit 1. After the edit ends, selective cache and attention-output replacements trace part of its continuing influence on the second digit. Replacing one attention head's output or the other heads' outputs jointly produces similar immediate readout contributions; both interventions restore 17 but have different final log-odds effects on 7 versus 5. Holding later multilayer perceptron (MLP) outputs at their values from the edited run without either replacement reduces this effect gap from 0.119 to 0.0025 nat. Later computation therefore changes how similar local contributions affect the continuation. Retrospective estimates across eighteen contexts capture much of the probability movement but miss the selected answer switch. Prompt tests also separate influence from answer changes: one held-out prompt retains influence without switching, and only one of twelve fresh wordings qualifies for the reader/MLP test; there, joint MLP clamping again reduces the gap between the two reader effects while the answer remains 17. These results use numerical choice as a controlled case for studying persistent state and conditional downstream processing; they do not establish the origin or a complete circuit of natural numerical preference.

arXiv cs.DC

A Controlled Experimental Evaluation of Configuration and Cache Architecture in LLM Serving Engines

arXiv:2611.05991v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-agent LLM applications repeat most of their prompt tokens across requests, and serving engines reuse the cached state of shared prefixes. vLLM and SGLang reuse it at different granularities, and benchmarks of their default deployments report large performance gaps, usually credited to the cache. Such comparisons rarely control for other configuration differences. One of them, whether a long prompt is prefilled in chunks, is set by each engine's defaults from the hardware and the release, and it confounds the comparison. We built a reproducible testbed on Kubernetes and a seeded multi-agent workload generator, and compared the two engines under vendor defaults and with chunked prefill matched. SGLang's configuration is the same in both arms, which makes it an internal control across independently provisioned deployments. Under defaults, vLLM's median time to first token is up to 64x SGLang's. Matching one setting removes 78% of the capacity gap where that gap is largest and 30 to 67% of the latency gap. Near saturation the remaining latency gap reflects queue growth. A fluid queue model driven only by a 4.4% throughput shortfall reproduces it, and shows that such a gap scales with the length of the benchmark run. What survives matching is a tail-latency advantage of 2.4 to 6.4x at equal throughput, consistent with cache-aware ordering of waiting requests. We derive six recommendations for comparing serving engines.

arXiv cs.AI

A Feasibility Condition for Confidence-Gated Tiered LLM Inference

arXiv:2611.05394v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tiered inference distributes large language model computation across a hierarchy of devices, from on-device and edge hardware to the datacenter, and is increasingly offered as the route to cheaper, lower-latency, and more private serving. Most such systems orchestrate frozen model checkpoints, and most decide what to resolve locally and what to escalate using a confidence signal produced by a forward-deployed model. We give a closed-form condition for when no threshold on that signal makes a tiered cascade worthwhile relative to sending every query to the backstop. Modeling the routing decision as a binary test and separating local from escalation cost through an architecture cost ratio $\kappa$, we derive a feasibility condition bracketed by a signal-free floor, below which a cascade is feasible at any signal quality, and a perfect-signal ceiling, above which none is. Read along the $\kappa$ axis the condition inverts: where local compute is billed, cost binds, matching a recent empirical finding; where it is sunk, on decentralized hardware, feasibility becomes unconditional and signal quality instead sets what the cascade achieves. We turn the condition into three design requirements that existing trained-in primitives satisfy only in isolation, and we propose, as future work, a co-designed architecture and a protocol to test it. The condition and the inversion hold independently of that architecture; they are the paper's contribution.

arXiv cs.AI

AGORA: Reliability-Aware Aggregation of LLM Judges via Item-Response Theory

arXiv:2611.05556v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-as-a-judge is a common substitute for costly human evaluation, and aggregating several judges is the standard remedy for any single judge's bias. Judge pools mix judges of very different reliability, while the human-labeled sets that validate them hold a few hundred items or fewer. In this regime the per-item mean weights weak judges as heavily as strong ones, and confusion-table models such as Dawid-Skene must estimate a per-judge error table from too few items. We propose AGORA (Aggregation Of Reliability-weighted Assessments), an item-response-theory aggregator that places every item on one latent quality scale and describes each judge by a sensitivity parameter and ordered rating thresholds, so judge reliability is learned from all items jointly and without human labels. Across three benchmarks, AGORA matches or exceeds Dawid-Skene on large evaluation sets, and its advantage widens as the set shrinks toward a few hundred items. It remains accurate as pools grow more uneven, a label-free dispersion statistic indicates in advance when trust weighting helps, and its learned trust weights track per-judge human validity.