IBM releases the Granite time-series integration forecasting model: a four-model, zero‑fine‑tuning ensemble that delivers a robust default forecasting solution.
IBM Research has released the open-source Granite Timeseries Ensemble (v1), which integrates four types of pre-trained architectures—PatchTST-FM-r1/r2, FlowState, and Tiny Time Mixers—and supports probabilistic ensemble forecasting with zero fine-tuning. By default, it employs equal-weight probabilistic pooling (Probabilistic Ensemble), while also offering an IQR-based adaptive weighting scheme (IQR Ensemble). On the GIFT-Eval benchmark (as of the October 20, 2026 snapshot), its point forecast error (MASE = 0.683) slightly outperforms that of the best single model, with significantly improved overall robustness.